Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 4.748513 5.157834 5.601503 6.120837 6.715557 7.379552 8.182929
2025-03-09 4.023121 4.569577 5.204138 6.005883 7.007284 8.238604 9.903243
2025-03-16 3.617982 4.230788 4.975750 5.968159 7.288337 9.036049 11.622684
2025-03-23 3.400901 4.072941 4.921644 6.104813 7.769562 10.130059 13.948780
2025-03-30 3.119741 3.797283 4.675651 5.940018 7.792909 10.559473 15.361217
2025-04-06 2.887942 3.561709 4.454133 5.773509 7.775338 10.903075 16.692689
2025-04-13 2.693850 3.359259 4.256762 5.614454 7.738064 11.194269 17.988234
2025-04-20 2.557873 3.224700 4.140503 5.558324 7.846402 11.733815 19.894811
2025-04-27 2.493899 3.183829 4.151422 5.690863 8.270421 12.892514 23.458483
2025-05-04 2.441164 3.153944 4.173836 5.840157 8.738797 14.224379 27.976316
2025-05-11 2.352234 3.065815 4.102104 5.829273 8.920988 15.029092 31.556727
2025-05-18 2.274786 2.989549 4.042290 5.830820 9.123270 15.914774 35.827472
2025-05-25 2.151690 2.845743 3.879101 5.660996 9.014336 16.176104 38.642247
2025-06-01 2.053293 2.735158 3.762949 5.565773 9.046769 16.795525 43.238702
2025-06-08 1.977142 2.653694 3.686854 5.532519 9.197120 17.740125 49.932577
2025-06-15 1.939255 2.628068 3.697704 5.654490 9.686185 19.698111 63.352167
2025-06-22 1.851926 2.521214 3.568843 5.507415 9.574518 20.000438 69.167943
2025-06-29 1.770773 2.420407 3.444424 5.358580 9.439957 20.209399 74.934591
2025-07-06 1.696542 2.327384 3.328132 5.216192 9.302494 20.381427 80.954686
2025-07-13 1.643894 2.266361 3.262469 5.165893 9.371955 21.222985 93.523133
2025-07-20 1.623987 2.256530 3.282875 5.284621 9.860406 23.614315 126.289594
2025-07-27 1.607259 2.250822 3.309661 5.418181 10.410416 26.499712 180.495475
2025-08-03 1.568638 2.207602 3.268173 5.408451 10.593169 28.106519 230.925810